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CORONAVIRUS or COVID19 Case Study

18 mars 2020 Laisser un commentaire Ecrit par Administrateur

CORONAVIRUS or COVID19 Case Study

A major international crisis

URGENT measures to take

Since December 2019 in China (as early as Nov.17th for case 0), the world has been hit by a new dangerous virus called #Coronavirus or #COVID19.

This virus appears in WUHAN, 11m inh, 7th largest metropolis in China, Head City of HUBEI, major industrial state in central CHINA.

HUBEI has 59 millions inhabitants, comparable to Italy, Britain or Skorea. This virus also called #WUHAN_virus by Taiwan paper seems to have been best managed in South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore & Hong-Kong but accelerated in other Asian countries such as IRAN, Pakistan and Malaysia…

This COVID19 crisis has now become a worldwide pandemy in over 207 countries with over 5 millions Humans infected & over 350,000 deaths so far. URGENCY is here

Fast and reactive actions by governments are Needed, such as massive testing of all suspect #COVID19bearers in more testing centers to STOP virus propagation.

1/ Official figures tell us > 2.2 m cases and over 145,000 people killed by the Coronavirus

2/ But everyone knows the truth is far beyond such figures. To start with, Chinese families in WUHAN have been looking for about 45,000 funerary urns vs 2,500 dead officially, for the metropolis alone, without counting for other HUBEI cities and significant tolls expected in other provinces as well. For this reason, we have decided to multiply all Chinese figures by 20, be that cases or victims toll figures. For memory, do keep in mind many observers & experts think such figures should be multiplied by 40 to 80…

a/ For this reason, China remains by far the largest country in terms of cases and dead figures, as you’ll see herebelow.

b/ a series of research articles by 14 Universities & research centers, taking into account travel data, letality rates observed in similar countries, number of cases exported (such as Russia to China in the last 15 days..). This is particularly true for Egypt where many foreign travelers were contaminated in February, when official figures were still at zero… Same goes with IRAN, which for ideological and power reasons, will never admit their absence of confinement and 2 major national votes have created a sanitary catastrophy, added to absolute lack of materials and machines to help heavy pneumonia patients to breathe and a virus mutation which induces more cardiological damages and a higher letality rate. Hundreds of mass graves have also been observed by satellites & local observers. For this reason, we have multiplied Iranian figures by 15 for the cases with a letality rate of 10% for the death toll… which alas makes IRAN the worst hit country in terms of lives lost. Over 116,000 dead so far in IRAN alone ! Keep in mind its population is 8 times larger than Belgium.. for similar figures in official data presently given to WHO, but health conditions worse, aggravated by US policy & less oil being presently bought by China.

c/ Taking into account the recent news about North Korea having officially 7,500 pneumonia cases. We have adjusted this figure to a minimum 150,000 cases (only 5% patients develop heavy pneumonia symptoms) with the present world letality rate of 6,7% aggravated to 10% because of lack of supplies in this country cut from the world, ie 15,000 dead. For the same reason, we have decided to multiply Egypt figures by 12 (with letality rate est.11%) and Algeria and Irak figures by 10 as both countries are suffering fast infection rates plus lack of beds, tests, materials, masks and respiratory units (ICUs). Same goes with Russia where hospital situation is a catastrophy with lack of all supplies and tests and over 500 cases of Chinese nationals have been tested positive as coming back from Russia in the last days. Here we multiply cases by 7, applying a 10% letality rate with looks weak in the hospital situation described as above. Again, in Brasil for lack of confinement, poor equipment and negationism by Bolsonaro and in Pakistan, because of authorities taking back 120,000 Pakistanese workers back from heavily infected IRAN some 3 weeks ago, we have decided to multiply figures by 7, taking the same letality rate as in Russia = 10%. Again in Turkey, where Erdogan told the world for weeks the country had no case at all, the official explosion of figures looks to many observers as too low compared to similar countries. Therefore, official case figures have been multiplied by 3, with a letality rate of 8% as an hypothesis.

d/ Looking at the sum of these hypotheses, made possible by hundreds of testimonies, citizens, doctors, nurses, journalists and science researchers worldwide, many of them imprisoned, endangered or killed by their various regimes, our new total reaches Over 5.2 millions infected and over 370,000 killed by the Coronavirus so far.

207 countries or territories hit. Over 5,200,000 cases known & estimated (China, Iran, Egypt..) as of Today, with over 370,000 dead. 40 highly infected countries of which 11 exceed 10,000 victims …


CHINA >> 1,667,460 cases & > 66,840 dead. 70% of these figures have been recently exposed with over 45,000 funerary urns remitted to Chinese families in WUHAN alone, not counting the full HUBEI or China. And observers (incl. Radio Free America) expect actual Death figures to be 80,000 to 200,000 in China alone. Following above information and 4 Chinese journalists disappearing while reporting in Wuhan, we have decided to multiply by 20 the official figures to come closer to the actual toll figures. The trouble here is that by deeply minimizing in the eyes of the world the actual figures, China did not induce enough prevention in OECD countries…Strict confinement & heavy control measures as well as case tracking did permit some control of the virus within 12 weeks. Est. 4 provinces re-opened schools so far. Journalists still unwelcome. A number of roads are gradually re-opening. 100% of population are wearing masks to go out.

IRAN >> 1,169,925 cases and > 116,992 dead. Indeed, as observed previously by experts, observers, @BBCBreaking and local doctors, as well as several satellites, dozens of mass graves have been digged up and covered by chalk by Iranian authorities. Over 180 mollahs, ministers & Parliament members are dead. We then have decided to come closer to actual figures (thought to be much higher) in multiplying official figures by 15. Indeed, these ‘official’ figures given to WHO are UNTRUE, highly underestimated & misleading, as Iranian Authorities & Mollahs are hiding 90% of the catastrophy in this country, for fear of appearing to lag far behind and to have done Health mistakes, not to confine and not closing the QOM shrines & pilgrimages sites among other heavy mistakes. Actual figures are estimated as at least 3 million cases and >> 40,000 dead, with heavy propagation in neighbouring IRAK & other neighbours, such as Turkey…

USA  > 640,716 cases & 31,024 dead. Letality rate 4.84%. New York >155,000 & >6,800 deaths, NJ~32,000, California~8,000, Mi~~2,800, Il~2,510, Fl~~2,480, La~2,305 & 83 deaths. Virus propagating fast. NY city is overwhelmed with all hospitals beyond capacity, materials and PPDs. Urgent need of masks, tests & materials for medical staff and public officers. See solutions used in HK & Singapore below. Estimated actual case figure above 5 m in the country with TESTS improving but still unsufficiant in most States. It seems Trump is playing a dangerous game, with recent protests organized by his backers in Michigan to refuse confinement ..without any masks and whith shouting and loud speaking being known as ideal factors for a quick VIRUS propagation… And trying to prevent State Governors from taking adequate precaution measures locally to protect their populations… This crisis is NOT about an EGO but about saving thousands of Human Lives !

TURKEY > 222,579 & 22,258 dead. Though authorities have long declared they had no case, booming figures are somewhat annoying, with TESTING unsufficiant & dangerous boarders with highly infected IRAN & Syria, both badly hit by the virus. Looking at neighbours, figures look underestimated. Letality rate appears 2.1% (though local doctors are saying more) with explosion of propagation and toll growth feared by experts & mathematician researchers…

ITALY (+San Marino) > 170,368 cases & 22,208 dead. Cases revised with partial elderly houses figures (+13,000 & +1,000 dead). Hospitals lack beds, material and personnel. Country is slowly entering the peak of its 1st pandemy thanks to confinerment. Help received from China, Cuba, Germany (18 cases hospitalized there). Euro-League Football match between BERGAMO & FC VALENCIA has itself propagated virus to over 4,000 in Italy & Spain… Over 76 priests have died in Italy. Huge apparent letality rate of 13% is due to lack of testing and massive propagation by 80% of asymptomatic (no symptoms visible) unknown cases, estimated over 3 m.

RUSSIA > 195,566 cases & 19,557 dead. See note 2c. Terrible explosion of cases with Hospitals lacking of masks, gels, ICUs, beds.. Boarders with China closed by China this time. Over 500 Chinese expatriates to Russia back to China with the Virus. https://www.lepoint.fr/monde/russie-c-est-d-une-telle-stupidite-de-vouloir-nous-empecher-d-aider-les-soignants-07-04-2020-2370351_24.php

SPAIN > 182,906 cases and 19,141 dead, of which >60,000 in Madrid alone & 5,037 dead. Cases revised with partial elderly houses figures (+10,000 & +1,000 dead). Hospitals lack material and personnel. Country in URGENT NEED of HELP. Death figures have skyrocketed in 15 days, with letality rate exceeding 10.5%. Football match between Bergamo & FC Valencia on Febr. 19th (Milano) proven deadly with vast propagation among supporters.

FRANCE (+DOM) > 150,324 cases and 17,711 deaths. Cases are now better identified, with more Tests & private doctors adding their figures in (+44,000 Sentinelles cases from 16th March). Actual figures (my own) include +5,039 lives lost in elderly houses & part of Sentinelles cases (+15,000 cases & 500 dead), which were not counted so far. Strong effort by industrial units to turn to COVID needs. ICUs have decreased from 6,948 to 6,204 in the last days. Alsace + IDF (worst hit) have reached saturation, but over 600 Intensive Care cases have been sent to Bordeaux, Marseilles, Toulon, Nantes, Tours, Angers onboard TGV trains.. & Germany (Bade-Wurtemberg, Hamburg & Saarland) to save lives. Thank you to Germany, Austria & Luxembourg for their exceptional and growing support. Thank you to all their teams in BW, Hamburg, Wien and Saarland, who are welcoming French patients.

BRASIL > 205,667 cases & 20,567* dead. Tests unsufficiant. Again & tragically, Bolsonaro lies about official death toll, to try & keep his face in the internationaljy, but hundreds of fresh tumbs have been documented on videos… * Death figure adjusted at 10% letality rate so far. Rapid growth in the last 2 weeks with major clusters in heavily populated RIO & SAO PAOLO metropolises… Minister for Institutional Security, General Augusto Heleno is infected, as well as 25 other people who participated in President Jair Bolsonaro’s entourage in his last visit to the US. President probably infected himself (refused to disclose his results) refused confinement to priviledge economy, at a very high Human price & death toll, with official figures considered ‘not reliable’ by experts. But the worse is still to come. * See 2c note
Submitted by InfoBrics, authored by Lucas Leiroz, research fellow in international law at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro… Last week, a secret document from the Brazilian Intelligence Agency (ABIN) was leaked on internet and published by The Intercept website. The document consists of a detailed report about the coronavirus pandemic in Brazil, taking an overall assessment of the …
BRITAIN > 105,006  cases & 14,002 dead. A devastating acceleration with death figure multiplied by 300 in 2 weeks, and letality rate rising from 1% to ~14% (Top5 letality rates with IRAN, ITALY, SPAIN). PM B. Johnson in Hospital for 4 days.. 4 Huge Rock concerts were authorized for the Stereophonics (> 35,000 attending) in England & Scotland mid-March in moves considered as CRAZY by Italians, Chinese and the world doctors. Such mass EVENTS in a Pandemic Time are criminal ! History and the British population will remember.. Experts are afraid of British figures quickly hitting 20,000 dead & exeeding those of France…Though toll rises fast, people in Parks…unconscious of danger !

NORTH KOREA  > 150,000 cases and > 15,000 dead. Regime has recently admitted they needed HELP for over 7,500 PNEUMONIA cases, without admitting they were badly hit by the Coronavirus, with their Northern boarder shared with northern China. Not surprisingly, these figures are much worse than in South Korea.

PAKISTAN > 48,433 cases & 4,843 dead. Pakistan opened its Balouchistan boarder with IRAN 3 weeks ago, welcoming over 100,000 Pakistanese workers in IRAN back…without significant checks…Future figures risk to be explosive, if the proper Tests are not done to control the pandemic. Official figures are under-estimated. See 2c

BELGIUM > 34,809 cases & 4,857 dead. Fast & accelerating growth of cases with 1 case per 250 inhabitants. 480 dead /million. Death toll accelerating wih letality rate sky high at ~14%. Confinement decided after France. More cases in Flanders than in Southern Wallonia but comparable number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants.

GERMANY ~135,549 cases and 3,850 deaths. Cases are much better identified than in most countries due to fast increasing number of tests. Letality rate remains low, though it increased to 1.45% about 8 times less than in Italy. This is due to many Beds available and a systematic testing done of 500,000 people/week from 160,000/wk previously. Over 2 m were tested so far.

EGYPT > 30,060 cases & 3,307 dead. To correct partial figures & toll, See note 2c. Actual figures are thought by most experts & tourism scientist to be very far higher than these official figures… Expert estimates run 50 times higher… from 45,000 to 120,000 cases & at least 4,500 dead…Do keep in mind Egypt infected > 40 European tourists (of which 11 French) as early as mid-February, at a time where official figures were at … no official cases declared…

ALGERIA > 24,948 cases & 3,480 dead. Though figures are hard to get & be centralized, observers think the actual figures are significantly higher, especially due to 150,000 Franco-Algerian citizens who have taken the boats from Marseilles to Algeria..during confinement.. If only 3% were infected (4,500), cases have silently boomed in the last weeks… Letality rate of 15% very high because of  unsufficient testing of population.

NETHERLANDS > 29,615 cases & 3,346 deaths. Though Tests unsufficiant, 1 case per 520 inhabitants. Death numbers multiplied by 100 in 15 days with letality rate doubled to 10.8% (TOP10 world). Decision to confine much too late infected huge numbers of citizens. As test numbers remain too low to isolate most of the dormant & asymptomatic cases, aggravated cases have increased fast, inducing much higher letality rates. Better survival rate than in Belgium. 200 dead/m.

IRAK > 14,340 cases & > 1,434 dead. See note 2c with vastly underestimated figures reviewed. IRAK suffers highly infected IRAN next door. With about 70% of Irak population made of Chiites, and very close to IRAN in the recent years, IRAK has been heavily contaminated by its neighbour, as everyone feared… Actual figures estimated > 25,000 cases & > 2,000 dead.

SWEDEN > 12,340 cases & 1,333 dead. With fast increasing figures, Swedish authorities are paying confinement refusal so far. Testing unsufficient. Letality rate has grown fast, from 2.5% on Tuesday to 11%. Though Scandinavia performs much better than Southern Europe in its fight against the VIRUS, Sweden is the bad student on this one. Still too many people in Parks with no or few masks so far and population unconscious of potential danger.

CANADA > 28,381 cases & 1,011 dead. QUEBEC just opened a new TESTING center opened 7 days/7 from 8am to 8pm & with confinement rules. Letality rate remains low with. Testing ratio & govt reaction much faster than in the USA so far. Better + earlier confinement give much better virus control with so far only 6 dead/m.
SWITZERLAND > 26,732 cases & 1,269 dead. With 8,4m population = 1 case for 300 inhabitants). Letality rate has trebled to 4.8% due to more ICUs. French medical staff working as cross-boarder helpers on French boarder and excellent medical equipment. Propagation has also been caused by Italy with some 500,000 Swiss Italians & important cross-boarder daily exchanges with Northern Italy.

PORTUGAL > 18,841 cases & 629 dead. Fast rising number of cases and probable Human exchanges with heavily hit & neighbouring SPAIN. Letality rate now at 3.7%. Portugal does resist much better than Spain with good decisions taken by Government.

INDONESIA > 5,576 cases & 501 dead. Figures have increased faster in this densely populated archipelago. Following tourism & movement figures by huge populations, cases look underestimated. Testing to be improved both in volume & accessibility. Official letality rate now reaching 9%

INDIA > 12,759 cases and 423 dead. PM Modi decided a Federal confinement 9 days ago. It might save millions of lives, as Indian figures are accelerating in the last week. Fears are growing for the poorest of the ~200 Indian metropolises and major cities.

MEXICO  > 6,547 cases and 450 dead. Though Mexico city delivers safety packages with 28 masks included to all having fever, explosion of cases with unsufficient testing could bring much more dramatic figures in the coming weeks.

ECUADOR > 8,158 cases & 418 dead. Heavy toll in the Amerindian populations and too few hospitals and Health facilities in isolated Mountainous villages and towns. Coming 2nd in South America, after Brasil. Already 5% letality rate.

AUSTRIA > 14,451 cases, 395 dead. Though death numbers increase, early closure of boarder with Italy & intense TESTING pays off. Letality rate among the best ones in Europe with 2.72%. Only 50 dead/m.

PHILIPPINES > 6,160 cases & 362 dead. As many might have foreseen, most of the teams serving the 2,500 passengers on the Diamond Princess in Yokohama were Philippinoes with at least 59 cases declared on board, for lack of strict confinement zones on board. These Princess Cruise employees were later repatriated to the Philippines. Letality rate now reaching 6%.

PERU > 11,507 cases & 303 dead. Fast increasing figures in a poorly equipped country make international observers and WHO fear booming pandemic and a heavy toll, especially among Amerindians.

DENMARK > 7,074 cases & 321 dead. Less than in Norway & with more travelers, Danish authorities are testing their population, inducing early treatments. But letality trebled to 4.4%. Performing better than Sweden with slower growth of cases and far less victims.

South KOREA > 10,613 cases & 229 dead. COVID control in this highly populated urban country is remarkable and due to a sum of measures detailed here below. Letality rate is only 2.14% one of the best in the world after Singapore (0.3%), Norway (1.1%), Taiwan (1.41%), Germany (1.45%)... Only 3 dead/m.

JAPAN (of which Cruise Ship Diamond Princess) 9,440 cases & 191 deaths. Cases on terrestrial grounds keep increasing slowly. Letality rate stable with 2% with the Ship included. Brutal explosion of propagation & cases in the last week when former figures had remained very quiet. Tokyo is confined since SAKURA Festival days… Japan should soon reach beyond neighbouring South Korea in victims.

ISRAEL > 12,591 cases & 140 dead. Though the country has virtually closed boarders, propagation is very quick and strong for the last 8 days. The Ultra Orthodox Jews, who are not respecting confinement & group meetings keep going to the synagogues & already represent over 50% of cases and death toll.

NORWAY > 6,798 cases, 150 dead. High figures for a 5.2 m population mean better knowledge of actual cases = 1 case per 900 inhabitants. Schools, bars, restaurants & all events are closed. No more than 5 in meetings. No commuting to summer residences; but no confinement so far. Letality rate at 2.15%  is one of the lowest in the world. Excellent rate of testing and early appraisal of infected citizens.

MALAYSIA > 5,217 cases & 85 dead. Cases multiplied by 20 in 11 days.. Cases follow up and number of TESTS improving but far behind excellent Singapore.

AUSTRALIA > 6,462 cases & 63 dead.  Very strict controls in all airports and public places. Tom Hanks & his wife infected, quarantined and cured. Exceptional stability of new cases and few are dying. Letality rate one of the best in the world with only 0.98%

All figures may be partial or uncomplete as a lack of transparency or lack of tests and labs have been observed in many countries (< 45,000 tests/day in the USA), without mentioning the unwillingness to test of some countries (IRAN, North Korea..), which looks crazy or a crime vs their population, after virologists & medical observers.

Indeed, to counter a massive propagation with 80% of COVID19 carriers not knowing it, there is a clear URGENCY to TEST, quickly and massively, isolate and stop propagation.

All medical observers have indeed noted the earliest the cases are known, the better to follow up with transmission chains, such as in South Korea. On the contrary, when cases are known too late, as in Spain (11% letality) or in Italy (13%) letality rates go crazy for lack of preparation and follow up.

Cf excellent article by Tomas Pueyo here

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LETALITY rate

It varies an awful lot from 0.35% in Singapore or 2.1% in S.KOREA thanks to MASSIVE TESTING and follow up of patients’s encounters in the last 15 days with SMS flow ups sent to contacts to test to …5% in the USA, 13% in Italy, 14% in the UK and probably >15% in IRAN, because of a muted type of virus which adds a myocardite with a VIRUS which also attacks patients’ hearts… which is a precious information given by Iranian doctors forced to speak anonymously for fear of local police & authorities… They are mentioning huge fatalities and mass graves…

Even if actual average world known figures run at 7% letality rates (up +80%) with ~400,000 dead out of 5,500,000 cases, there are huge differences behind depending on 7 measures working .. when applied :

  • TEST massively all citizens & families in contact with knwon case (with SMS calls & teams of COVID19 data followers, who may be students or fast reacting research teams tracking all cases ; this may also be done by private start-ups or companies, which tend to be faster & more reactive than Health authorities. Success achieved by S.KOREA on this point.

  • MASSIVE CONFINEMENT to counter fast propagation rates, and avoiding crowds (Italy, Spain, concerts, big events..)

  • SYSTEMATIC CLEANING every day in trains, airplanes, airports, croissroads, streets, by specialized & equipped teams as in China & South Korea

  • MASSIVE DISTRIBUTION OF MASKS, as is done in Singapore with Soap on every Building basement

  • RESPECTING SECURITY DISTANCES OF 2 METERS = Having clients enter Food stores only in limited numbers, with queues respected

Because of IRAN, PAKISTAN, EGYPT, VIETNAM… figures largely underestimated world cases can be estimated as of today as a minimum of actual

  • > 500,000 cases and > 20,000 deaths

RISKS & OPPORTUNITIES

A/ Seen or expected within 4 weeks

  • Cancellation of over 20,000 international events (including NBA & Sports Leagues) & concerts, or events reported.

  • Cancellation of Telecom shows in Barcelona & San Dieg, Ca

  • Heavy fall of many stocks on the World Stock Exchanges because of incertitudes on the duration of the crisis

  • Heavy fall of turnover of tourism companies such as hotelry, restaurants, shopping malls, air companies, airports, buses, cruise ships…

  • Massive increase in mask, gel, soap, specialized protection kits production

  • Local markets still active with security distances checked.. or closed by authorities if no respect of such security distances…

  • Cancellation of company events and large forums

  • Cancellation of Calcio and LIGA (Soccer leagues in Italy & Spain)

  • Risk of company bankruptcies such as fragile airlines (ALITALIA…)

  • Heavy risk of COVID19 propagation to millions of figures worldwide with >>50,000 deaths worldwide

  • Countires infected rising from current 162 to universal infection. Danger of re-infection in some observed Chinese cases…

B/ From 4 weeks to 4 months

  • Bankruptcy risks for millions of SOHOS and small companies, in case debt agreements cannot be reached quickly with the Help of Banks and National Tresuries & Finance ministries…

  • Bankruptcy of 10 to 30 international airlines

  • Acceleration of Digitalization of the economies with more and more population having access to internet via smartphones, tablets or computers..

  • Millions of citizens getting back to Nature with autonomous internet facilities, with the obligation of medical facilities within reach.

  • New WHO – World Health Organization reactivity and computing facilities & teams, to follow up with the crisis. Currently having 1 to 4 days late figures on actual COVID19 national figures…

  • Listening more to medical teams in the field and their general & unanimous message repeated 100 times on the social networks : STAY AT HOME PLEASE !

  • NATIONAL PRIORITIES TO FIGHT THE VIRUS, as > 30% citizens have not yet understood how serious this COVID19 crisis was !

  • Get best coordination and HELP from Private Companies and doctors, which have proven EVERYWHERE more reactive than authorities …

  • https://twitter.com/LIndispensac/status/1239229423938949126/photo/1

  • Cancellation risk of TOKYO Olympic Games, for the 1st time in 80 years..

C/ Risks & opportunities 9 to 15 mois (until Xmas 2020 or latest Juin 2021)

  • New internet & digitalization tools & applications securing and helping millions of Humans & pets in need.

  • Good regular videoconferencing Habits taken by international leaders, with more cooperation and exchange of views on screens.

  • Better coordination of European capitals, with the exception of London, suffering from BREXIT decision & vote…

  • Industrial relocalisation of certain strategic units such as medicines , auto parts, machinery..)

  • Bankruptcy of millions of companies worldwide, especially the most indebted ones

  • Number of confirmed cases > 3 millions in the USA alone with over 75,000 dead (2.5% letality rate)

  • Acceleration of all Green Energies installation that can be continued during the crisis. More local autonomous batteries and local energy solutions

  • Renewable energies to weigh over 30% du mix énergétique européenof European Energy Mix until 2021 and 2022

  • Agro-Forestery fast Growth with less pesticides and soil regenerated by quality insects such as european worms.

  • Planting over 200 bn Trees worldwide to balance CO2 fumes to take advantage of thousands of citizrens under-employed. Very low costs of plants & plantlets to grow : Ethiopia, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, China, USA, Australia, Africa, Europe and so on…

  • Balancing of CLIMATE Temperature Growth with the planting of such billions of trees, plants and new algae production units in developped countries.

  • Fall of US growth and re-start of China on the ashes of the COVID19 3,300 deaths in China.

  • Slow re-start of other European economies with new cautions and a better European together organization of River deliveries and cleaner transportation.

  • Big impact on the US National campaign and gatherings with many US politicians to be confined and campaigning behind their screens…

  • Worldwide COVID19 cases to exceed 80 millions with over 320,000 dead

  • China increasing its share of the World riches and ressources consumed with more Green Energies, be that Solar, Wind Turbines, Hydro-electricity or others…

China ordered a strict confinement with

    • 400 confirmed cases in WUHAN and has had 3,223 dead so far

Italy waited for Lombardia (Milan) to reach 3,000 cases to do so = High letality rate and hospitals overwhelmed…

Spain waited for Madrid to reach 2,500 cases to do so = Overwhelmed with number of dead shooting up from 131 to 533 in 4 days…

France waited for Ile-de-France to reach 1,700 cases to do so = High risks

Germany waited for Bavaria to reach 2,000 cases to do so = High Risks

Dear friends from Switzerland, Austria, Netherlands, Belgium, UK, USA, Scandinanvia, world countries… please

Do not wait until you TEST massively your cases’ contacts and confine your population before it is too late…

I am not a Doctor but only a ESCP EUROPE Business Graduate with brains, and I have read over 900 pages from > 200 sources and looked at over 500 videos on COVID19 topics.

If this article on Coronavirus has helped you in any way, be kind to share it with your friends, brothers and sisters and all the people you LOVE to help them get through, before.. it is too late !

François P. VALLET, ESCP EUROPE, LFA Editor – La France Audacieuse , March 18th, 2020

This article has been revised 7 times, latest 17th April, 2020, to take into account the recent evolutions

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